Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.044081 0.051489 0.059638 0.069253 0.080268 0.092477 0.107014
2025-04-27 0.034712 0.044822 0.056970 0.072573 0.092004 0.115322 0.145332
2025-05-04 0.026413 0.037320 0.051497 0.071116 0.097376 0.131098 0.177435
2025-05-11 0.020967 0.032124 0.047678 0.070663 0.103417 0.148002 0.212767
2025-05-18 0.016581 0.027383 0.043444 0.068638 0.106623 0.161074 0.244142
2025-05-25 0.013444 0.023797 0.040130 0.067178 0.110078 0.174478 0.277070
2025-06-01 0.011397 0.021496 0.038307 0.067541 0.116052 0.191907 0.317430
2025-06-08 0.009417 0.018896 0.035516 0.065809 0.118287 0.203570 0.349821
2025-06-15 0.008580 0.018169 0.035756 0.069124 0.129085 0.229755 0.407645
2025-06-22 0.007430 0.016620 0.034256 0.069098 0.134032 0.246623 0.451536
2025-06-29 0.006266 0.014808 0.031963 0.067238 0.135386 0.257336 0.485751
2025-07-06 0.005396 0.013437 0.030297 0.066297 0.138220 0.270752 0.525670
2025-07-13 0.005025 0.013121 0.030765 0.069726 0.149920 0.301564 0.600129
2025-07-20 0.004613 0.012633 0.030797 0.072271 0.160184 0.330703 0.674179
2025-07-27 0.003931 0.011350 0.028888 0.070430 0.161363 0.342678 0.717038
2025-08-03 0.003430 0.010417 0.027616 0.069785 0.164910 0.359520 0.770632
2025-08-10 0.002920 0.009342 0.025823 0.067689 0.165061 0.369517 0.811508
2025-08-17 0.002517 0.008473 0.024385 0.066200 0.166334 0.381840 0.857990
2025-08-24 0.002255 0.007952 0.023743 0.066534 0.171735 0.403213 0.924714
2025-08-31 0.001942 0.007201 0.022362 0.064814 0.172133 0.413855 0.969713
2025-09-07 0.001855 0.007150 0.022887 0.068077 0.184775 0.452339 1.077262
2025-09-14 0.001660 0.006698 0.022206 0.068048 0.189359 0.473214 1.148038
2025-09-21 0.001435 0.006080 0.020930 0.066213 0.189210 0.483285 1.195637